Fed to start cutting rates in July – ABN Amro

“We do not think the Fed is wedded to changing policy in quarterly projection months, and nor do we think the election timing is a significant factor. Our ECB view is unchanged; it would take a much sharper move in the euro to affect ECB cuts. Rates forecast update: The change in Fed view raises our near-term short-end yield forecasts for the US, but long-end yield forecasts are much less impacted. Our euro rates forecasts are mostly unchanged.”