Gains traction near 94.70, within an ascending trend channel

The AUD/JPY cross gains momentum for the fourth consecutive day during the Asian session on Thursday. The cross currently trades around 94.70, up 0.01% on the day. The Aussie attracts some buyers following the release of Employment data. However, markets anticipate that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) might have already ended its rate-hiking cycle, which could cap the upside of the AUD/JPY.



From the technical outlook, AUD/JPY trades within an ascending trend channel since September 7 on the one-hour chart. That said, the path of least resistance for the AUD/JPY is to the upside as the cross holds above the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).


  • AUD/JPY trades in positive territory for four straight days on Thursday.
  • The immediate resistance level for AUD/JPY emerges at 94.82; the initial support level is seen at 94.40.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above 50 in the bullish territory.



Looking at the downside, the cross will meet the initial support level at 94.40 (the 100-hour EMA). The next downside filter appears at 94.30 (the lower limit of the descending trend channel). A break below the latter will see a drop to 94.00 (a low of September 5) en route to 93.50 (a low of August 22) and finally near a psychological figure at 93.00.

The immediate resistance level for AUD/JPY emerges near the upper boundary of an ascending trend channel at 94.82. Any follow-through buying above the latter will see a rally to a confluence of a psychological round mark and a high of August 30 at 95.00. The next upside stop to watch is 95.40 (high of July 14) en route to 95.85 (high of July 31).

It’s worth noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above 50 in the bullish territory, which support the buyers for now.

AUD/JPY one-hour chart

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed on Thursday that Australia’s Unemployment Rate came in at 3.7% in August compared to 3.7% in the previous reading and was in line with the expectation. Meanwhile, the number of employed people rose to 64.9K in August, compared to a market consensus of 23K and a loss of 14.6K in the previous month.

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