The euro sinks as the market grows wary of the cost of high interest rates in the bloc. After policymakers lifted key rates to a record high of 4% they will need to thread the needle to avoid tightening too much. Traders might find it hard to believe that a ‘soft landing’ could be achieved as easily in the euro zone as in the US. Higher borrowing costs may once again reveal vulnerability of peripheral economies and those showing a lack of fiscal discipline, known as the fragmentation risk. How the ECB shifts its focus towards managing risks would drive the single currency. 1.0230 is the next support and 1.0720 the first resistance.
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منبع: https://www.orbex.com/blog/en/2023/10/the-week-ahead-supply-uncertainty
Jing-Ren has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London. He went on to work as a senior analyst within the FX industry where he developed and refined his own trading and risk management strategies. Having a solid understanding of market dynamics, he founded his own research and asset management services and works with Orbex to provide timely market commentary on the global financial markets.
Brent crude jumped as the Israel-Hamas conflict raised fears of supply disruptions in the region. A potential contagion in the Middle East with the involvement of Iran would send oil prices surging, as markets still have vivid memories of the invasion of Ukraine last year. With everyone’s attention fully focused on the supply side, prices are likely to remain choppy as traders try to game out different scenarios. However, only a de-escalation, though unlikely in the short-term, would calm the nerves and drive energy prices back down. The price has found support over 82.00 and 99.00 is the next obstacle.
SPX 500 struggles amid geopolitical tensions
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